A fund manager’s opportunity radar: the live macro regime sets the risk appetite, the engines rank projects by conviction, and you deep-dive any name on the spot. Insight, not a call.
The decision · crypto sleeve (≤10% of a $5B book)
loading the tape…
🎯 Conviction radar · opportunities ranked live
scanning the universe…
#
Project
Narrative
Conviction
Signal
30d ADV
Safe size
Why · live drivers
Scanning the universe…
🔎 Deep-dive any project · full gate read, right here
Liquidity doesn’t buy assets — it buys a mood, and the mood buys a basket. Rising M2 alone tells you nothing about which tickers; the regime does. That’s why this desk classifies the sentiment first, then screens, then sizes.
🎯 Honest by design
The viral “Global M2 leads Bitcoin by ~10 weeks” chart is curve-fit — the best-fit lag is unstable and the live correlation flips sign by regime. And a big share of “Global M2” is just the dollar (foreign money converted to USD). We use liquidity as context, never a countdown to a pump.
🌊 The cascade mental model
💵
Cash
→
🏛️
Bonds
→
📈
Equities
→
🥇
Gold
→
₿
Crypto
Easing flows down the risk curve toward crypto; tightening rotates up into safety. Regime logic, not a fixed law.
1 · Macro regime
Should I own crypto at all — and at what posture?
🌊 The tide liquidity
+12%
Global M2 / 12m · net-liquidity, DXY
Rising — but the tide alone doesn’t pick the basket. The mood does. →
🧭 The mood live
Reading sentiment…
📐 Regime posture how much of the sleeve is live
DEPLOY (risk-on)NEUTRALHOLD (risk-off)
2 · Narrative
What is the mood buying — which themes get the tailwind?
📰 Macro drivers live
…
🔥 Leading crypto narratives on-chain pulse
…
3 · Screen
Which tickers clear the six gates?
Trend is live (Signal Score ≥ 55) · Narrative is the live macro gate · Liquidity from perp depth · Flow & Positioning read live from the Signal-Score engine drivers · Safety = structural risk (run Deep Scan for the hard rug/sybil veto). Hover a gate icon for what it checks.
Ticker
💧
📰
📈
📡
🛡️
🌀
Signal
Verdict
Running the screen…
For a specific name, use 🔎 Analyze any ticker at the top of the page — full gate read, no tabs.
4 · Sizing
How much to pile into each — macro posture × narrative tilt × trend.
💰 Sleeve deployment
—
🧮 The weighting formula
weight ∝ liquidity tier × narrative tilt (hot theme ×1.3) × live trend (Signal Score). Regime sets the total; these set the split.
Ticker
Tier
Narr
Signal
Weight
%
$ of sleeve
Sizing the basket…
Method
How each gate passes/fails, and the framework behind it.
Why AND-logic, not a score: a weighted average lets a great narrative mask a fatal flaw (a rug with hype scores “medium”). Conjunctive gates refuse that — every check must clear on its own. Safety or Liquidity fail → dropped; all pass → basket; the live regime then says deploy or hold.